spotlight

  Corrupting minds since 2004 ....

 
 

Tuesday, January 10, 2017
What's in Your Future?

THIS IS more than just INTERESTING ....

In 1998, Kodak had 170,000 employees and sold 85% of all photo paper
worldwide. All medical X-rays used Kodak film. Camera's, both
commercial and industrial, security camera's- imaging of all sorts.
Within just a few years, their business model disappeared and they
went bankrupt. What happened to Kodak will happen in a lot of
industries in the next 10 years - and most people won't see it coming.
Did you think in 1998 that 3 years later you would never take pictures
on film again?

Yet digital cameras were invented in 1975. The first ones only had
10,000 pixels, but followed Moore's law. So as with all exponential
technologies, it was a disappointment for a long time, before it
became way superior and got mainstream in only a few short years. It
will now happen with Artificial Intelligence, health, autonomous and
electric cars, education, 3D printing, agriculture and jobs.
Welcome to the 4th Industrial Revolution.
Welcome to the Exponential Age.
Software will disrupt most traditional industries in the next 5-10 years.

Uber is just a software tool, they don't own any cars, and are now the
biggest taxi company in the world.

Airbnb is now the biggest hotel company in the world, although they
don't own any properties.

Artificial Intelligence: Computers become exponentially better in
understanding the world. This year, a computer beat the best Go player
in the world; 10 years earlier than expected.

In the US, young lawyers already don't get jobs. Because of IBM
Watson, you can get legal advice (so far for more or less basic stuff)
within seconds, with 90% accuracy compared with 70% accuracy when done
by humans. So if you study law, stop immediately. There will be 90%
less lawyers in the future, only specialists will remain. THIS IS
PROBABLY THE BEST EXTINCTION OF THEM ALL

Watson already helps nurses diagnosing cancer, 4 times more accurate
than human nurses. Facebook now has a pattern recognition software
that can recognize faces better than humans. In 2030, computers will
become more intelligent than humans.

Autonomous cars: In 2018 the first self-driving cars will appear for
the public. Around 2020, the complete industry will start to be
disrupted. You don't want to own a car anymore. You will call a car
with your phone, it will show up at your location and drive you to
your destination. You will not need to park it, you only pay for the
driven distance and can be productive while driving. Our kids will
never get a driver's license and will never own a car.

It will change the cities, because we will need 90-95% less cars for
that. We can transform former parking spaces into parks. 1.2 million
people die each year in car accidents worldwide. We now have one
accident every 60,000 mi (100,000 km), with autonomous driving that
will drop to one accident in 6 million mi (10 million km). That will
save a million lives each year.
This will increase world over growth and populations.

Most car companies will probably become bankrupt. Traditional car
companies try the evolutionary approach and just build a better car,
while tech companies (Tesla, Apple, Google) will do the revolutionary
approach and build a computer on wheels.

Many engineers from Volkswagen and Audi; are completely terrified of Tesla.

Insurance companies will have massive trouble because without
accidents, the insurance will become 100x cheaper. Their car insurance
business model will disappear.

Real estate will change. Because if you can work while you commute,
people will move further away to live in a more beautiful
neighborhood.

Electric cars will become mainstream about 2020. Cities will be less
noisy because all new cars will run on electricity. Electricity will
become incredibly cheap and clean: Solar production has been on an
exponential curve for 30 years, but you can now see the burgeoning
coming impact.

Last year, more solar energy was installed worldwide than fossil.
Energy companies are desperately trying to limit access to the grid to
prevent competition from home solar installations, but that can't
last.
Technology will take care of that strategy.

With cheap electricity comes cheap and abundant water. Desalination of
salt water now only needs 2kWh per cubic meter (@ 0.25 cents). We
don't have scarce water in most places, we only have scarce drinking
water. Imagine what will be possible if anyone can have as much clean
water as he wants, for nearly no cost.

Health: The Tricorder X price will be announced this year. There are
companies who will build a medical device (called the "Tricorder" from
Star Trek) that works with your phone, which takes your retina scan,
your blood sample and you breath into it.

It then analyses 54 bio-markers that will identify nearly any disease.
It will be cheap, so in a few years everyone on this planet will have
access to world class medical analysis, nearly for free.
Goodbye, medical establishment and their absurd medical fees.

3D printing: The price of the cheapest 3D printer came down from
$18,000 to $400 within 10 years. In the same time, it became 100 times
faster. All major shoe companies have already started 3D printing
shoes.

Some spare airplane parts are already 3D printed in remote airports.
The space station now has a printer that eliminates the need for the
large amount of spare parts they used to have in the past.

At the end of this year, new smart phones will have 3D scanning
possibilities. You can then 3D scan your feet and print your perfect
shoe at home. Amazing things are coming fast.

Only the systems for paying for these capabilities remain to be defined.

In China, they already 3D printed and built a complete 6-story office
building. By 2027, 10% of everything that's being produced will be 3D
printed.

Business opportunities: If you think of a niche you want to go in, ask
yourself: "in the future, do you think we will have that?" and if the
answer is yes, how can you make that happen sooner?

If it doesn't work with your phone, forget the idea.

And any idea designed for success in the 20th century is doomed to
failure in the 21st century.

And here's the clincher---Work: 70-80% of jobs will disappear in the
next 20 years. There will be a lot of new jobs, but it is not clear if
there will be enough new jobs in such a small time.

Agriculture: There will be a $100 agricultural robot in the future.
Farmers in 3rd world countries can then become managers of their field
instead of working all day on their fields.

Aeroponics will need much less water. The first Petri dish produced
veal, is now available and will be cheaper than cow produced veal in

  1. Right now, 30% of all agricultural surfaces is used for cows.
    Imagine if we don't need that space anymore.

There are several startups who will bring insect protein to the market
shortly. It contains more protein than meat. It will be labeled as
"alternative protein source" (because most people still reject the
idea of eating insects).

There is an app called "moodies" which can already tell in which mood
you're in. By 2020 there will be apps that can tell by your facial
expressions, if you are lying. Imagine a political debate where it's
being displayed when they're telling the truth and when they're not.

Bitcoin may even become the default reserve currency. Of the world.

Longevity: Right now, the average life span increases by 3 months per
year. Four years ago, the life span used to be 79 years, now it's 80
years. The increase itself is increasing and by 2036, there will be
more that one year increase per year. So we all might live for a long
long time, probably way more than 100.
But over population will create severe food problems.

Education: The cheapest smart phones are already at $10 in Africa and
Asia. By 2020, 70% of all humans will own a smart phone. That means,
everyone has the same access to instant world class education.

The United States of America will most likely fall to a second world
status country due to liberal voting policies.
China will become the primary power of the world.

[Source: unknown; sent by circular mail from a the U.S.A.]

... Link (0 comments) ... Comment




Logic is overrated.
 
 
Online for 2331 days
Last modified: 9/4/17 10:10 PM
Status
You are not logged in
... Login
Main Menu

* LATEST *




Search
Calendar
January 2017
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
1234567
891011121314
15161718192021
22232425262728
293031
DecemberFebruary
Comments
Mir gefällt die allerletzte Variante
- Brett gehalten von zwei Händen - am Besten....
Mr.Yoda, 11 months ago
Total klasse :D vor
allem die Schreibmaschinentastatur
Wolkenweberin, 11 months ago
appreciation amused
again
wilhelm peter, 3 years ago
"use common sense" was what
my foster father told me in '63 - how...
Mr.Yoda, 3 years ago
stop worrying about stop-lists die
ägypter hatten 40 verbote die juden 10 plus zahlreicher verhaltensorders...
wilhelm peter, 3 years ago
I wonder why the
man doesn't just walk off ....
Mr.Yoda, 3 years ago
super
wilhelm peter, 3 years ago

RSS feed

Made with Antville



Helma Object Publisher



My other weblogs:
Erstes Blog "RELAtief" [2004-2008]
Zweites Blog "RELAtief" [2008-jetzt]
Drittes Blog [antville]: giant
Viertes Blog [antville]: RELAtief